Abstract
Assessing the solidity of the financial
system may be cumbersome since there is no single comprehensive indicator to
measure financial stability. This paper presents two aggregate measures that
can be deployed as early warning measures of financial stability for the
monetary union of Curaçao and Sint Maarten, mainly focusing on the banking
sector. As this sector comprises most of the monetary union's assets, the
constructed measures are mainly focused on this sector. Following financial
stability literature, we apply empirical normalization and aggregation to
construct an Aggregate Financial Stability Index (AFSI) and a Banking Stability
Index (BSI). These indices have been gaining popularity among central banks to
assess financial stability on top of conventional measures such as Financial
Soundness Indicators (FSIs) and credit cycles. The AFSI comprises
banking-sector indicators, macro-financial developments, and international
trends, while the BSI captures dimensions of banks' financial soundness. We benchmark
the AFSI and the BSI to the period of deteriorating macro-financial conditions
induced by the coronavirus crisis, and the development in the indices was as
expected. Based on the robustness analyses conducted, we deem the constructed
indices plausible for measuring and tracking financial stability within the
monetary union of Curaçao and Sint Maarten.
JEL classification numbers: C20, C45, E58, F15, G21.
Keywords: Early warning indicators, Financial
stability, Financial soundness indicators.