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Abstract
Artificial
intelligence (AI) is increasingly applied across finance, including fraud
detection, risk assessment, and forecasting, yet forecasting and internal
controls are often governed in separate initiatives. This paper examines two
pillars of AI use in finance: AI-driven financial modeling and forecasting, and
AI-driven reconciliation within internal control over financial reporting
(ICFR). The paper is based on a literature review of 23 academic, regulatory,
and standards sources, including materials from the SEC, PCAOB, and COSO. The
review indicates that the two pillars are interdependent: reconciled,
well-governed data underpins reliable forecasting, and continuous
reconciliation combined with predictive modeling can support pre-filing risk
detection in SEC reporting. Model risk management, explainability, and human
sign-off emerge as governance requirements common to both pillars. Building on
these insights, the paper proposes a five-stage maturity framework that
sequences AI-driven reconciliation ahead of predictive forecasting, together
with shared governance practices. The findings suggest that managing
forecasting and controls under a unified governance approach offers a coherent
pathway for AI adoption in finance.
JEL classification numbers: C53, G17, G32, M41, M42.
Keywords: Artificial
Intelligence in Finance, Financial Analytics, Automated Reconciliation, Internal
Controls, AI-Driven Finance.