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Abstract
This study examines the effect of financial
technology on financial inclusion in the eight East African Community member
countries over 2014–2023, using a balanced panel of 80 country-year
observations. Fintech is measured by penetration rate, usage rate and
transaction intensity (mobile-money transactions per adult), with GDP per
capita, inflation, financial literacy and bank-branch density as controls.
Panel unit root and Kao cointegration tests are reported, and random-effects
and fixed-effects estimators are compared with the Hausman test (X˛(5) = 4.79, p = 0.441), with two-way fixed effects,
first differences and correlated random effects as robustness checks.
Penetration rate (B = 4.965, p = 0.002) and transaction intensity (B = 4.552, p
= 0.001) have positive significant effects that survive the controls and fixed
effects, whereas usage rate has no significant independent effect; GDP per
capita is the strongest control. Fintech advances inclusion through breadth of
access and economically meaningful transaction use rather than frequency of
use: repeated low-value transfers do not connect users to formal savings,
credit or insurance. Because the effects reflect long-run co-movement rather
than year-to-year changes, they are interpreted as long-run associations.
Policy should prioritise affordable access, interoperable payments and
bank–fintech partnerships that convert activity into formal participation.
JEL
classification numbers: G21, G23, O16, O33, O55.
Keywords:
Financial
technology, Financial inclusion, Penetration rate, Usage rate, Transaction
intensity, East African Community.