Journal of Risk & Control

A Class of Time Series Analysis Model with Grey Item and Its Application

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  • Abstract

     

    In this paper, we use the grey system theory and time series analysis, put forward the grey time series model, analyze the kind of model, and give model-building and forecasting methods. It is applied in agriculture with total output value and grain output value. The forecasting test has proved the model's correctness. This method can be extended to various fields, including educational statistics.

     

    Keywords: Time series analysis, AR model, Grey system, Forecasting, Agriculture economy, Educational.