Abstract
The document analyzes the relationship
between FDI (Foreign Direct Investment), ICT (Information and Communication
Technology), and economic growth in Morocco for the period from 1990 to 2021
using the ARDL model. Three models have been evaluated, with economic growth,
FDI, and ICT as dependent variables in each respective model. In model (1), the
results indicate that in the short term, economic growth is not positively
related to FDI and ICT. However, in the long term, FDI positively contributes
to economic growth, while ICT negatively affects it. A controlled inflation
rate has a positive short-term effect, and the level of education shows a
positive relationship in both the short and long term. In Model (2), economic
growth and government spending have a significant short-term effect on FDI,
while ICT has no effect. In the long term, economic performance and inflation
remain important for FDI. Model (3) confirms a significant short-term
relationship between FDI and ICT, with a negative impact. However, ICT is
positively influenced by the inflation rate and the level of education. In the
long term, FDI, demographic changes, and education have favorable and
significant effects, while economic growth has a negative impact. Regarding the
Granger causality test by Toda-Yamamoto, the cause-and-effect relationship
between ICT and economic growth is strong and unidirectional, while economic
growth influences the level of ICT development. On the other hand, the
causality between FDI and ICT concerning economic growth is indirect and
depends on factors such as population growth, education level, and inflation
rate.
JEL classification numbers: C190, F21, F30, L96, O55.
Keywords: Economic growth, FDI, Information and Communication
technology, ARDL model, Toda-Yamamoto causality.