Abstract
Based on
the Solow growth model and the concept of sustainable development, we
decomposed the sources of China’s economic growth into total factor
productivity, physical capital, human capital, energy consumption and the
environmental loss, utilizing data 1981-2012 in China. The contribution of each
of the five aspects on China’s economic growth and the impact on China’s
economic growth fluctuations were measured, and results revealed that
investment in physical capital is the main driving force for China's economic
growth at the present stage. The energy consumption accounts for 24.8% of
China’s economic growth. The economic growth rate related to the environment is
-1.14%, showing that environmental loss has become an obstacle to economic
growth in China. Economic growth fluctuations and TFP fluctuations also showed
a more consistent trend. As a whole, China’s economy presents an extensive
development, characterized by "high input, high consumption, high emission
and low efficiency". Therefore, the key for China to achieve sustainable
economic development is changing their economic growth model and impelling
total factor productivity to be the main motivating force and source, instead
of physical capital and energy consumption.